The Fed Getting Squeezed

*  Fed Expected to Hike 50bps at Next Two Meetings. As you can see below, the odds on both are at 100%. Given the persistence of inflation, the Fed has been put into defensive mode (i.e., forcefully tightening policy) even into a growth slowdown. Source: Bianco...

The Affordability Problem in Housing

Strong demand for housing may give some flashbacks to 2007/2008, but this is not necessarily a bubble. We believe the work-from-home has shifted the demand fundamentals of real estate. New millennial home buyers are facing the highest interest rates in their adult...

Aptus Musings: The “R” Word

It’s no secret that the underlying market dynamics have changed over the past month due to geopolitical forces potentially causing a slowdown in global growth. In our 2022 Market Outlook, we told investors to focus on growth because we knew that we’d get some type of...