Our team looks at a lot of research throughout the week. Here are a handful that we think are contributing to investor activity, from AI panic to Fed plans to bull and diverging markets. Enjoy!
Brad: If you were wondering which large companies are most tied to Artificial Intelligence (AI), the DeepSeek session made it clear
Source: Bespoke as of 01.27.2024
Mark: after thinking it through, most traders see a modest ongoing impact from DeepSeek
Brian: It’s been quite a shift in Fed policy since peak accommodation
Data as of December 2024
Brett: and institutions can’t resist the return to a positive real return environment
John Luke: but there is much debate about when the Fed ends its quantitative tightening
Data as of 01.17.2025
Joseph: The Atlanta Fed’s economic tracker took an odd turn down this week, on soft inventory and trade data
Data as of 01.30.2025
Beckham: but summarizing survey data from individual regions shows underlying strength
Source: Apollo as of 01.31.2025
Brett: and the overall economic backdrop is historically healthy
Brad: The past two years have both seen ultra-low numbers of stocks keeping up with the index
Data as of 12.31.2024
Dave: much of which has been justified by higher Mag 7 profit margins driven by positive operating leverage
Data as of 01.24.2025
Brian: We’re two years into this cyclical bull market, here’s how it stacks up to the others of the past 70 years
Dave: and there has been a general tendency for good Januarys to result in good years
Beckham: It was a strong month for stocks in Europe
Arch: and while value-seekers have looked at “cheap” overseas markets for years, foreign stock indices are mismatched with US stocks when trying to compare valuations
Joseph: Trade is a big topic right now, and the only thing we know for sure is that existing patterns will change
Data as of March 2024
These charts paint an evolving picture of where we’ve been and where we might go. As always, we’ll continue monitoring and interpreting the evidence to help navigate what’s ahead.
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