Our team looks at a lot of research throughout the day. Here are a handful that we think are good summations of investor activity, from the equity market correction to the economy and inflation and, of course, tariffs. Enjoy!
Beckham: Anyone who claims a crystal ball to future outcomes is either naïve or lying; corrections may rhyme, but they rarely repeat
Brett: and if you hone in on just the history after the 10% threshold has been reached, it’s even more clear how different the path of each outcome can be
Arch: Not only are the end points different in price, but they vary quite a bit in time as well
Data as of 04.01.2025
John Luke: and with policy uncertainty readings already on par with the most memorable episodes in recent history, it’s important to remember that widespread anxiety often sets the table for higher prices
Source: Strategas as of 04.02.2025
John Luke: Tariffs are obviously grabbing every headline, here’s a summary of pros and cons from Bridgewater founder Ray Dalio
Source: @AllioCapital as of 04.02.2025
John Luke: and an estimate of the initially proposed tariff rates relative to US trade history
Data as of 04.03.2025
Joseph: Here is a decent summary of the before and after tariff rates across the largest exporters to the U.S.
Source: Goldman Sachs as of 04.03.2025
Ten: It’s important to note that the proposed tariffs apply only to imported goods, not services
Data as of March 2025
John Luke: that split between goods and services is also prominent in tracking inflation figures
Source: WSJ as of 04.01.2025
Jake: Moving to jobs, we’ve seen large DOGE-driven cuts, but it’s not yet spilled over into the private sector
Source: Koyfin via Daily Chartbook as of 04.01.2025
Brad: and while market lore says credit markets always sniff out trouble before equities, it’s not always the case
Brian: We can’t guess at the full range of policy goals, but Treasury Secretary Bessent was clear on his desire for lower rates, oil prices, and US dollar
Data as of 04.03.2025
JD: and as markets fall we’ll soon find out whether the “Fed Put” is still a thing
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