Our team looks at a lot of research throughout the day. Here are a handful that we think are good summations of investor activity, from the US dollar to bonds to the economy to US and foreign stock markets. Happy Easter to you!
Brett: The value of the US dollar is off to its weakest start of the past 20 years
Data as of 04.16.2025
John Luke: The dollar weakness is also feeding into the rise in Treasury yields
Data as of 04.14.2025
Arch: and is likely tied to the extraordinary moves in the bond market in recent weeks
Source: Apollo as of 04.10.2025
John Luke: Investors and economists are trying to evaluate the timing and validity of soft vs. hard data, meaning surveys vs. actual output
Brian: Survey data has turned unequivocally lower on tariff uncertainty
Source: @thestalwart as of 04.16.2025
Joseph: while output data has stayed strong, perhaps due to buyers getting out in front of tariffs
Jake: either way, pronounced economic weakness would be likely to do more harm than good to deficit reduction efforts
Data as of 04.15.2025
John Luke: Strategist targets are predictably being chased lower
Source: Strategas as of 04.14.2025
Ten: and we’re now in a volatility zone from which prices have historically shown higher potential
Joseph: Developed economy growth estimates are coming down at a pretty good clip
Data as of 04.13.2025
Arch: given the higher exposure to US assets, our markets are more a bit more prone to an unwinding
Brad: As we head into earnings season, the correction in prices means lower valuations especially for the formerly popular Mag 7 names
Brett: the question is, have expectations fallen enough to allow for relief rallies as earnings pass
Data as of 04.14.2025
Brad: One hope for the US economy vs. others is its lighter reliance on trade as a portion of the economy
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