The Market in Pictures, July 18

Our team looks at a lot of research throughout the day. Here are a handful that we think are good summations of investor activity, from FOMC speculation to inflation breakdowns to earnings forecasts and market sentiment. Have a great weekend!   Jake: This may...
Illusion of Control

Illusion of Control

Risk tolerance is used (a lot) in the wealth management space, and I’m not sure anybody thinks about what they are saying at this point. Here’s the gist of what is usually meant: Let’s say you are aggressive as an investor. That tends to mean you can stomach the value...

Moody’s Downgrade: Should We Care?

Last Friday, Moody’s rating agency lowered the US credit rating from Aaa to Aa1 (their version of AA+). Technically, this doesn’t change the US’s overall credit rating because it was already split-rated AA+. This follows downgrades by S&P in 2011 and Fitch in...

May FOMC: A Pause for Thought

→ FED SAYS UNCERTAINTY ABOUT OUTLOOK HAS ‘INCREASED FURTHER’ → FED: RISKS OF HIGHER UNEMPLOYMENT, HIGHER INFLATION HAVE RISEN → FED HOLDS BENCHMARK RATE IN 4.25%-4.5% TARGET RANGE   Source: Bloomberg as of 05.7.2025   The Fed has cut the fed funds...