The Market in Pictures, April 28

by | Apr 28, 2023 | Blog, Charts

Our team looks at a lot of research throughout each day. A few charts that caught our eye this week, and the way they fit the unfolding puzzle of evidence:

 

Brad: The recession playbook has mostly filled in and markets seem to be adjusting

 

Source: Strategas as of 04.24.2023

 

John Luke: though even a perfect economic forecast doesn’t lead to better investment forecasting

 

Source: Bloomberg as of 04.24.2023

 

Joseph: As often happens in slowdowns, analysts are banking on the back end of the year to make up for early-year weakness

 

Source: Bloomberg as of 04.24.2023

 

Joseph: but it’s hard to envision what might reverse the direction of the past 12 months

 

Source: Strategas as of 04.24.2023

 

John Luke: Stocks as a % of GDP are cheaper than at the peak but by no measure are they “cheap”

 

Source: Bianco as of 04.02.2023

 

Joseph: though when breaking down by sector there are significant differences across the universe

 

Source: Strategas as of 04.26.2023

 

Brad: and small cap stocks are at historically extreme cheapness relative to large cap

 

Source: Strategas as of 04.25.2023

 

Joseph: Energy companies have transformed themselves into cash-flow machines in recent years

 

Source: EIA as of January 2023

 

Joseph: perhaps putting future energy sources at risk but giving shareholders a much better experience

 

Source: EIA as of January 2023

 

John Luke:  A lot of talk about M2 crashing but in the grand scheme there is still plenty of money sloshing around

 

Source: Daily Shot as of 04.25.2023

 

Derek: it just may not be flowing into questionable areas

 

Source: Fidelity as of 04.24.2023

 

John Luke: Interesting to see the range of investor thoughts about current conditions and what may unfold

 

Source: Strategas as of 04.21.2023

 

 

Disclosures

 

Past performance is not indicative of future results. This material is not financial advice or an offer to sell any product. The information contained herein should not be considered a recommendation to purchase or sell any particular security. Forward looking statements cannot be guaranteed.

Projections or other forward-looking statements regarding future financial performance of markets are only predictions and actual events or results may differ materially.

This commentary offers generalized research, not personalized investment advice. It is for informational purposes only and does not constitute a complete description of our investment services or performance. Nothing in this commentary should be interpreted to state or imply that past results are an indication of future investment returns. All investments involve risk and unless otherwise stated, are not guaranteed. Be sure to consult with an investment & tax professional before implementing any investment strategy. Investing involves risk. Principal loss is possible. 

Advisory services are offered through Aptus Capital Advisors, LLC, a Registered Investment Adviser registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Registration does not imply a certain level or skill or training. More information about the advisor, its investment strategies and objectives, is included in the firm’s Form ADV Part 2, which can be obtained, at no charge, by calling (251) 517-7198. Aptus Capital Advisors, LLC is headquartered in Fairhope, Alabama. ACA-2304-30.

Advisory services offered through Aptus Capital Advisors, LLC, a Registered Investment Adviser registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Registration does not imply a certain level or skill or training. More information about the advisor, its investment strategies and objectives, is included in the firm’s Form ADV Part 2, which can be obtained, at no charge, by calling (251) 517-7198.

Aptus Capital Advisors, LLC is headquartered in Fairhope, Alabama.

The opinions expressed herein are those of Aptus Capital Advisors (“Aptus”) and/or the individual Aptus Employee being interviewed as of the date of publication and are subject to change without notice. Aptus reserves the right to modify its current investment strategies and techniques based on changing market dynamics or client needs and there is no guarantee that such assessments of investments will be accurate. There is no guarantee that strategies or recommendations will equal or exceed any expectations or goals discussed. The discussions, outlook, and viewpoints featured are not intended to be investment advice and do not take into account specific client investment objectives.

The opinions expressed herein are those of Aptus Capital Advisors (“Aptus”) and are subject to change without notice.

Aptus social media posts, including third party material, are provided for information purposes only and should not be considered investment advice or recommendation to purchase or sell any particular security, product or service. Aptus posts are based on data obtained from sources believed to be reliable but are not guaranteed as being accurate and do not purport to be a complete summary of the available data. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.

Aptus does not endorse or take responsibility for any content, advertising, products, advice, opinions, recommendations, or other materials posted by followers or other third parties on Aptus’ social media sites. Any comments or opinions posted by another user should be attributed to that user and not Aptus.

Aptus is an independent investment adviser registered under the Investment Advisers Act of 1940, as amended. Registration does not imply a certain level of skill or training. More information about Aptus including our investment strategies, fees and objectives can be found in our ADV Part 2, which is available at www.aptuscapitaladvisors.com or by calling 251.517.7198.

Enhancing Outcomes

Your job is to help clients meet their goals. Part of that is capturing the compounding power of markets, part is making sure the path matches client expectations. How portfolios get from point A to point B matters.