The Market in Pictures, August 15

by | Aug 15, 2025 | Blog, Charts

Our team looks at a lot of research throughout the day. Here are a handful that we think are good summations of investor activity, from inflation to dispersion, from wall of worry to tariff impact, and the ongoing US vs. Foreign discussion. Have a great weekend!

 

Dave: Consumer price changes have seemingly stabilized in the 3% annualized range, manageable but above the Fed’s stated targets.

 

Data as of 08.12.2025

 

 

John Luke: with an even split between components that are accelerating in price and those that aren’t

 

 

 

Jake: The performance dispersion across types of stocks has become quite striking

 

Data as of 08.11.2025

 

 

Joseph: as a minority of companies have been able to outperform the indices in this earnings season

 

Data as of 08.11.2025

 

 

Brett: and those with iffy outlooks have been especially punished

 

Source: Bespoke as of 08.10.2025

 

 

Joseph: Fund managers remain highly concerned about US equity valuations

 

Data as of 08.08.2025

 

 

Beckham: and individuals reporting to surveys from the American Association of Individual Investor (AAII) aren’t exactly embracing the equity rally

 

Source: AAII as of 08.13.2025

 

 

Dave: To this point, US businesses have borne the brunt of the tariffs

 

As of 08.13.2025

 

 

Dave: with those numbers seemingly confirmed by actual corporate tax receipts

 

Source: Strategas as of 08.12.2025

 

 

Arch: The global equity rally continues to broaden throughout the world

 

Data as of 08.08.2025

 

 

Dave: leading to actual progress in global stock indices

 

 

 

Brad: That said, the US economy has reasserted its reliable tendency to deliver better-than-expected performance

 

 

 

Brian: Top earners continue to lead the US economy higher

 

Data as of 08.08.2025

 

 

Ten: extending the spending leadership established in prior decades

 

As of 08.06.2025

 

 

John Luke: The aggregate sum of US mortgage debt is as low as it’s been in generations

 

Source: Bespoke as of 08.10.2025

 

 

Arch: but we could use some new homeowners to enter the mortgage market

 

Data as of 08.08.2025

 

 

JD: There are additional reasons related to money supply growth, but comparing today’s valuations to those of prior decades makes little sense

 

Data as of July 2025

 

 

 

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