Our team looks at a lot of research throughout each day. A few charts that caught our eye this week, and the way they fit the unfolding puzzle of evidence:

Dave: Bigger stocks have been rewarded with higher valuations

 

 

Brad: and the dominance of the biggest of the big makes them huge components across commonly used funds

 

 

Beckham: that said, those big NASDAQ names have generally earned their leadership positions through consistent growth

 

Data as of May 2024

 

Brett: The other side of megacap domination is that very few stocks have been able to keep up with the S&P 500

 

Source: The Compound Media as of 06.18.2024

 

Arch: with the divergence between the broader market and the index a historical outlier

 

 

Joseph: and only 1998-99 eclipsing the current period for range of dispersion

 

Data as of 06.14.2024

 

Brad: We’re finally seeing a higher % of companies achieve strong year-over-year growth

 

Data as of 06.09.2024

 

JD: leading to a bit of a catchup in the “Growth” component of “Yield + Growth”

 

 

Brian: According to this indicator, risk appetite is returning for public fund buyers

 

Data as of 06.14.2024

 

Brett: though it appears that institutions are not at all interested in buying stocks after the rally

 

Data as of 06.14.2024

 

John Luke: but we know that sentiment and surveys can be a bit squishy, look here at the difference between what businesses are doing and how they feel

 

Source: NFIB as of 06.09.2024

 

John Luke: If you’re wondering whether this is a normal bear market for bonds, it’s not

   

 

John Luke: and after all of that we’ve just now reached the point where half of the components have returned to the Fed’s target rate for rising prices

  

Source: Strategas as of 06.17.2024

 

Brad: The continuing theme of the past year is the impact of artificial intelligence (AI), with NVDA as the poster child

  

Source: Goldman Sachs as of June 2024

 

Joseph: but its contribution to higher power consumption seems pretty clear

 

Data as of May 2024

 

 Dave: Wall Street strategists will eventually chase prices higher but they’ve not fully caved yet

 

Source: Strategas as of 06.17.2024

 

 

Disclosures

 

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