Our team looks at a lot of research throughout the day. Here are a handful that we think are good summations of investor activity, from jobs and the economy to the FOMC and market sentiment, and earnings impact and long-term winners and losers. Have a great weekend; football is here!
Beckham: August’s employment report confirmed recent data showing very little job growth
Data as of 09.05.2025
Ten: shifting FOMC rate expectations significantly lower for the months ahead
Source: CME FedWatch Tool as of 09.05.2025
Joseph: On the good side, workers in the primary 25-54 age range remain well-employed
Data as of 09.05.2025
John Luke: and there is zero sign of concern from corporate bond buyers, who know higher selling prices can help borrowers avoid defaulting
Source: TS Lombard as of 09.04.2025
Brad: Consumers are still spending at a rate above what we’d see in a downturn
Source: Strategas as of 09.02.2025
Brett: with air travel one area where activity has been falling off
Data as of August 2025
John Luke: The next debate for interest rate expectations is whether prices maintain growth rates above FOMC comfort levels
Data as of 09.04.2025
John Luke: coming out of a period where corporate survey data could rise after a long period of hesitancy
Data as of 09.04.2025
Brad: September has earned its reputation as the weakest month of the year for stocks
Jake: perhaps feeding into concerns among individual investors, who won’t let their guard down amidst the rally
Source: AAII as of 09.03.2025
Brian: that said, it’s been an odd year of doubt in a strong market, at least among the crowd that is willing to respond to surveys
Source: Bespoke as of 09.04.2025
Dave: The leaders and laggards of the rally from the April lows have been closely tied to the projection of forward earnings expectations
Brad: explaining the continued attraction of Mag 7 stocks vs. the rest of the market
Source: Strategas as of 09.03.2025
Arch: If you can identify which companies can deliver compounded growth in the coming decade, you’re probably on the right track to good performance
Source: Bespoke as of 08.26.2025
Arch: and nearly as important, avoid tying up money in those who won’t deliver
Source: Bespoke as of 08.26.2025
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Past performance is not indicative of future results. This material is not financial advice or an offer to sell any product. The information contained herein should not be considered a recommendation to purchase or sell any particular security. Forward-looking statements cannot be guaranteed.
Projections or other forward-looking statements regarding future financial performance of markets are only predictions and actual events or results may differ materially.
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