by JD Gardner | Jan 4, 2023 | Market Updates
Markets Have Changed Discounting is the mathematical practice of estimating what a cash flow in the future is worth TODAY. Higher rates used in discounting lead to lower values today, while lower rates used in discounting lead to higher values today. Given...
by JD Gardner | Dec 6, 2022 | Market Updates
A quick reminder, the formula for generating investment returns looks like this: Return = Yield + Growth +/- Valuation Change Here’s the graphic showing each of the 3 potential drivers of return, broken out with annualized return of each component, by...
by JD Gardner | Nov 3, 2022 | Market Updates
4% yields look attractive. Are they? Rate Environment We are writing this on 11/2/2022 as markets await the 1pm CST FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee) statement followed by Chairman Powell’s press conference. Another 75bps hike seems to be a given. ...
by JD Gardner | Oct 5, 2022 | Market Updates
We are three quarters through 2022 and it’s been a tough year. We’ve weathered this market turmoil, but I’m fully aware being down ‘less’ is not something most investors view as a win. Let’s recap what’s happened, while keeping our focus forward. The windshield...
by JD Gardner | Sep 6, 2022 | Market Updates
Two Choices Let’s assume there’s only two potential investment options. For this exercise we’ll define risk as volatility in return stream, and exposure to large drawdowns…meaning it could be a wild ride where the drag of a volatility tax could come into play:...
