by John Luke Tyner | Sep 22, 2022 | Blog, Macro Updates
As expected, the Federal Reserve opted to raise rates 75bps, taking the target range to 3.00% to 3.25%, with a total of 300bps in policy adjustments since March…the fastest rise over a seven-month span in four decades. Coming into today, the debate was between 75bps...
by John Luke Tyner | Sep 14, 2022 | Blog, Bonds
Another Hot Inflation Report CPI came in above expectations yet again. In fact, headline inflation has only come in below expectations once in the past year. The U.S. CPI rose +0.1% m/m in Aug, and 8.3% y/y. The core CPI (ex food & energy) surged +0.6% m/m...
by John Luke Tyner | Sep 2, 2022 | Blog, Bonds
The balance sheets of global central banks have grown drastically in the last 15 years. The United States balance sheet alone grew from ~$4 trillion to ~$9 trillion over the pace of 2 years during the pandemic. The surge in liquidity has had a drastic effect on...
by John Luke Tyner | Aug 31, 2022 | Blog, Bonds
Stocks Fall on the “No Pivot” Powell Speech SPX down over -5% in the past 3 days since Jackson Hole. Additional Fedspeak: BARKIN: JOB MARKET STILL VERY TIGHT, DEMAND IS HEALTHY BARKIN: WON’T PREJUDGE SIZE OF NEXT RATE HIKE, DEPENDS ON DATA BOSTIC: COULD...
by John Luke Tyner | Aug 26, 2022 | Blog, Bonds
Powell focused on inflation and the willingness to tolerate “some pain to households and businesses” to bring inflationary pressures down. He also says that it will likely require maintaining a restrictive policy for some time. This is Fedspeak for: 1)...
