Markets Finally Believing Higher for Longer

The recent Fed meeting brought an update to the 2024 median for the Fed Funds rate. It was pushed higher with the top dot now 6.1%, up from 5.9% in June. If growth persists, several FOMC members see the funds going a lot higher than the market expects.   Source:...

Meet the Team : Joseph Sykora

You might have seen our Team Page with our full team lineup, showing us in the office setting, with the usual bios about backgrounds and roles. We wanted to show you who we are outside of the office and share a little about the personalities that make up our team. We...

The Market in Pictures, September 22

Our team looks at a lot of research throughout each day. A few charts that caught our eye this week, and the way they fit the unfolding puzzle of evidence:   John Luke: The midpoint of the neutral policy rate hasn’t moved, but a few members have moved their...

The Complexities of Inflation

We thought the current backdrop provided an opportunity to dive into the basics of inflation. The below analysis will attempt to isolate different types of inflation, and distill our input on where we stand on each in the current cycle. This is a bit “economic” at its...