by John Luke Tyner | Jul 11, 2024 | Blog, Bonds
June CPI Reaction In response to the CPI print, markets are now pricing in an 8.5% chance of a July cut, a 94.5% of a September cut, and an 85.6% chance of at least 2 cuts by the end of the year. We think the market should not ignore the signal here. We’re...
by Aptus PM Team | Jul 5, 2024 | Blog, Charts
Our team looks at a lot of research throughout each day. A few charts that caught our eye this week, and the way they fit the unfolding puzzle of evidence: John Luke: The US Treasury Index has shown only one positive reading in the last 41 months. This is a rare...
by David Wagner | Jul 1, 2024 | Blog, Market Updates
June ‘24 Market Recap – Let the Good Times Roll: The S&P 500 had its 32nd all-time high this year during the month – ending June slightly off the potential for a 33rd. That is 32 all-time highs out of 125 trading days or 1 ATH every 4 trading days. This year has...
by Aptus PM Team | Jun 28, 2024 | Blog, Charts
Our team looks at a lot of research throughout each day. A few charts that caught our eye this week, and the way they fit the unfolding puzzle of evidence: Brian: The story of US economic strength has been the growing wealth of the consumer Source: Aptus via...
by John Luke Tyner | Jun 27, 2024 | Blog, Bonds
Higher Neutral Rate Could Lead to Structurally Higher Interest Rates The graphic below shows pricing for forward contracts referencing the five-year interest rate in five years. This gives a proxy for the market’s view of where US rates might end up. ...
by David Wagner | Jun 25, 2024 | Blog, Market Updates
Well, there’s no sugarcoating this one; the first U.S. Presidential Election Debate for the current race will occur later this week. This event will likely jumpstart an onslaught of client questions regarding the election and its effect on the market. Over the...
