Are Data Centers the New Canals?

Three boom and bust stories from American capital history. None of them is a forecast for AI. Each is here for what it says about how a portfolio survives whichever outcome arrives.   In the 1830s, every state legislature in America agreed that canals were the future...

Prediction Markets : Expensive Guessing?

A reporter from Investment News reached out recently to ask about prediction markets after seeing my previous post, Structure Over Bets: How You’re Built Matters More Than What You’re Predicting. Specifically, they wanted to know if prediction markets are a new way to...