Steady Wins the Race

Steady Wins the Race

  Back to the Basics    Sometimes, the most powerful illustration of a concept is simple math… Let’s imagine having four portfolios to choose from over the next five years. Each will have three good years and two not so good. Here’s a table of the annual...
Steady Wins the Race

Rearview to Windshield, November 2021

Developments over the Past Month:   Monthly Recap: The path of least resistance has been higher in recent weeks, but there are a lot of moving pieces for the market to deal with. 1) Earnings were very strong, but margins continue to be a focus by the market. 2)...
Steady Wins the Race

The Real Purpose of Risk Mitigation

“I argue that cost-effective risk mitigation, when done well, doesn’t just take you out of risk, but actually allows you to take on more risk.” Mark Spitznagel We’d tweak “take on more risk” to “pursue more return” but...
Steady Wins the Race

Rearview to Windshield, October 2021

Developments over the Past Month:   Recap: After successfully testing it’s 50-day moving average nine times so far in 2021, the S&P 500 finally broke below this threshold in September and has tested the 100-day moving average now twice. As of month end, in...