Around the Bond Market, December 2025

On their own, bonds have been better in 2025 than in recent years. Capital appreciation across the complex may be limited from here, but the bigger story is the support this environment can lend to overall economic conditions. A few key themes that are emerging…...

The Fed’s Recalibration

Post Covid Inflation   Source: Bianco. As of 9/24/24 In a recent op-ed, Jim Bianco argued that recessions and financial crises can create change across an economy. In 2020, we had both a financial crisis and a recession, significantly reshaping the economic...

The Market in Pictures, March 17

Our team looks at a lot of research throughout each day. A few charts that caught our eye this week, and the way they fit the unfolding puzzle of evidence:   Derek: Hopefully the first and last time we need to share SIVB charts, but in hindsight it stood out...

Rearview to Windshield, March 2023

February ‘23 Market Recap: The January rally suddenly looks distant as equities closed lower for the month, finishing down 5.0% from their early February peak. This has been a confluence of technicals, bond yield increases due to uncomfortably strong economic data in...