Around the Bond Market, September 2024

September 11th   We take a moment at Aptus today to remember the lives lost on this tragic day 23 years ago. We are grateful for the men and women who make the enormous sacrifice to keep our nation safe. Never forget!   August CPI Update   This morning U.S....
How Do You Define Safe?

How Do You Define Safe?

Brian wrote a post last week that’s relevant to this month’s writeup. It’s worth a few minutes of your time as it provides perspective around how you should think about investing your hard earned money: The Lost Century in Bonds. Volatility is not risk, and the...

Jackson Hole for Now, What About DC?

Rate Cut Expectations   All eyes are on Jay Powell this week in Jackson Hole as he lays out the FOMC plan for the upcoming rate cut cycle. As of now, the market is pricing in ~1.25 cuts (roughly 31bps), basically a 25bps cut. Over the past weeks, we’ve bounced...

Large Cut in September?

We continue to believe the first Fed rate cut will be in September and this move will likely start a sequence of cuts. With that being said, we don’t see the case for a jumbo -50bp cut. The Fed’s Jackson Hole meeting at the end of August deserves special attention for...