Competing Forces in the Bond Market

Productivity is the Way Out Productivity plays a crucial role in influencing both inflation and economic growth. A key to stopping a second wave of inflation is likely productivity (output per hour) picking up. Instead of having too much money chasing too few goods we...

The Market in Pictures, February 23

Our team looks at a lot of research throughout each day. A few charts that caught our eye this week, and the way they fit the unfolding puzzle of evidence:   John Luke: Rate expectations have changed dramatically in a few short weeks   Data as of 02.23.2024...

The Market in Pictures, February 16

Our team looks at a lot of research throughout each day. A few charts that caught our eye this week, and the way they fit the unfolding puzzle of evidence:   Dave: The typical pattern for earnings estimates is to start high and fade throughout the year  ...

The Market in Pictures, February 9

Our team looks at a lot of research throughout each day. A few charts that caught our eye this week, and the way they fit the unfolding puzzle of evidence:   John Luke: Market expectations for 2024 interest rate cuts are slowly moving back towards FOMC guidance...

The Market in Pictures, February 2

Our team looks at a lot of research throughout each day. A few charts that caught our eye this week, and the way they fit the unfolding puzzle of evidence:   John Luke: Before the FOMC meeting, markets took comfort that Treasury borrowing needs wouldn’t expand in...