The State of Bonds Entering Q4

Tug of War:  Goods vs Services Inflation   Goods inflation is rising because of tariffs, while the rise in services prices stabilizes.   Source: Apollo. As of 9/22/25.   As a whole, 72% of CPI components are growing faster than the Fed’s 2% inflation...

FOMC : Searching for the Neutral Rate

The Fed left rates unchanged for its 5th straight meeting — keeping the fed funds range 4.25%-4.5% which was widely expected. Governors Miki Bowman and Chris Waller dissented in favor of a 0.25% cut. It was the first double-dissent by governors since 1993.  ...

The Market in Pictures, June 20

Our team looks at a lot of research throughout the day. Here are a handful that we think are good summations of investor activity, from market momentum to earnings, trade policy to fiscal policy, and home owners to equity owners. Enjoy!   Brian: We’ve seen a...