The “Idea in Real” Market

The market is learning that the economic cure of last year is now quickly becoming the cause for something else. The ramifications of unprecedented fiscal and monetary responses employed to combat a recession during the global pandemic should not come as a surprise to...

Rearview to Windshield, July 2022

Developments Over the Past Month   The U.S. Officially Entered into a Bear Market: The S&P 500 has officially entered a bear market, marking the 27th bear market since 1929 (20%+ peak-to-trough decline without a 20% rally). Historically, bear markets have...

Aptus Musings: Fed Up With Inflation

Obviously, yesterday’s news regarding the market was all about the Fed. Just a few weeks ago, it seemed very unrealistic that the market would get a 75bp hike in June. Yet, due to Friday’s CPI report and a “mysterious” WSJ article on Monday, it created an environment...

Valuations Matter

The returns witnessed by investors over the past few years have been an outlier. Entering the year, the 3-year annualized return for the S&P 500 was ~25% with the U.S. Barclays Agg. returning ~5%. In an environment where one has had strong returns, it makes one...