by John Luke Tyner | Dec 31, 2025 | Blog, Bonds
On their own, bonds have been better in 2025 than in recent years. Capital appreciation across the complex may be limited from here, but the bigger story is the support this environment can lend to overall economic conditions. A few key themes that are emerging…...
by John Luke Tyner | Dec 11, 2025 | Blog, Bonds
The FOMC release was less hawkish than feared (milkshake) with a dovish presser (cherry on top). We view December 10th’s move as a risk management cut given a slowing job market and limited inflation fears (we’re above target, but inflation break-evens...
by John Luke Tyner | Nov 17, 2025 | Blog, Bonds
Fewer Cuts? The Fed funds futures market now shows a 48% chance of a December rate cut, down from 100% on the day of the October Fed meeting. We saw a Bloomberg News headline that read, “Fed Policy in Doubt with Kashkari on the Fence”. However, in December, it is...
