by John Luke Tyner | Dec 11, 2025 | Blog, Bonds
The FOMC release was less hawkish than feared (milkshake) with a dovish presser (cherry on top). We view December 10th’s move as a risk management cut given a slowing job market and limited inflation fears (we’re above target, but inflation break-evens...
by John Luke Tyner | Nov 17, 2025 | Blog, Bonds
Fewer Cuts? The Fed funds futures market now shows a 48% chance of a December rate cut, down from 100% on the day of the October Fed meeting. We saw a Bloomberg News headline that read, “Fed Policy in Doubt with Kashkari on the Fence”. However, in December, it is...
