Helping Clients Understand the Move in Rates

Most of our pieces are meant to be read by advisors, but sometimes there are topics that will resonate just as deeply with your clients. Here's an example of one that could be white-labeled to help you explain the current conundrum between "lower rates" and what...

Long Term Rates Diverging From Fed Policy

As expected, the Fed opted to cut rates by 25bps in November, taking the Federal Funds rate to a range of 4.50% to 4.75%. Marking now the second consecutive reduction in rates, this month’s cut is a notably smaller reduction following the 50bps cut to initiate the...

Rate Talk into the Election

The 10-year Treasury yield is up ~60 bps from the YTD lows seen just prior to the 50bp Fed cut on September 16. The widespread view is that the spike in rates is due to a combination of a) repricing the Fed’s rate cut path and b) the rising risk of a post-election...

Econ Data Not Bond-Friendly

September CPI   Year-over-year, consumer prices rose 2.4%, a tenth of a percentage point more than expected but down from the 2.5% annual increase in August. 2.4% is the smallest annual gain since February 2021. Food prices rose 0.4%, while energy prices dropped...

The Fed’s Recalibration

Post Covid Inflation   Source: Bianco. As of 9/24/24 In a recent op-ed, Jim Bianco argued that recessions and financial crises can create change across an economy. In 2020, we had both a financial crisis and a recession, significantly reshaping the economic...

FOMC: The First Cut is the Deepest?

The debate between 25 or 50bps has been settled. It appears that markets strong-armed the Fed to front-load their first cut, where today they cut the funds rate by 50bps. This moved the target rate range from 5.25% – 5.50% to 4.75% – 5.00%.  The updated...