by John Luke Tyner | Oct 24, 2024 | Blog, Bonds
The 10-year Treasury yield is up ~60 bps from the YTD lows seen just prior to the 50bp Fed cut on September 16. The widespread view is that the spike in rates is due to a combination of a) repricing the Fed’s rate cut path and b) the rising risk of a post-election...
by John Luke Tyner | Oct 11, 2024 | Blog, Bonds
September CPI Year-over-year, consumer prices rose 2.4%, a tenth of a percentage point more than expected but down from the 2.5% annual increase in August. 2.4% is the smallest annual gain since February 2021. Food prices rose 0.4%, while energy prices dropped...
by John Luke Tyner | Sep 27, 2024 | Blog, Bonds
Post Covid Inflation Source: Bianco. As of 9/24/24 In a recent op-ed, Jim Bianco argued that recessions and financial crises can create change across an economy. In 2020, we had both a financial crisis and a recession, significantly reshaping the economic...
by John Luke Tyner | Sep 19, 2024 | Blog, Bonds
The debate between 25 or 50bps has been settled. It appears that markets strong-armed the Fed to front-load their first cut, where today they cut the funds rate by 50bps. This moved the target rate range from 5.25% – 5.50% to 4.75% – 5.00%. The updated...
by John Luke Tyner | Sep 11, 2024 | Blog, Bonds
September 11th We take a moment at Aptus today to remember the lives lost on this tragic day 23 years ago. We are grateful for the men and women who make the enormous sacrifice to keep our nation safe. Never forget! August CPI Update This morning U.S....
by John Luke Tyner | Aug 23, 2024 | Blog, Bonds
Rate Cut Expectations All eyes are on Jay Powell this week in Jackson Hole as he lays out the FOMC plan for the upcoming rate cut cycle. As of now, the market is pricing in ~1.25 cuts (roughly 31bps), basically a 25bps cut. Over the past weeks, we’ve bounced...
