Rearview to Windshield, April 2024

March ‘24 Market Recap: The S&P 500 returned 10.6% in Q1, on a combination of two very powerful forces; dovish central banks and a continued broadening of the AI narrative. The S&P 500 rallied for the fifth straight month in March (a 99th percentile return, in...

The Market in Pictures, March 29

Our team looks at a lot of research throughout each day. A few charts that caught our eye this week, and the way they fit the unfolding puzzle of evidence:   Brett: It’s been a historic equity rally these past few months, here’s where this one sits relative to...

Lot of Moving Parts in the Bond Market

Treasury Issuance Back at Pandemic Levels   As we’ve noted over the last year, the current level of US fiscal deficits, given a strong economy and low unemployment, is uncharted territory.  It was ironic that Phillip Swagel, director of the Congressional Budget...

The Market in Pictures, March 22

Our team looks at a lot of research throughout each day. A few charts that caught our eye this week, and the way they fit the unfolding puzzle of evidence:   John Luke: The market is finally in gear with the FOMC’s actual plans   Source: Bianco as of...

March 2024 FOMC: Dovish Tone

The FOMC voted unanimously to leave their benchmark rate unchanged in the target range of 5.25%-5.5%.   Source: Bloomberg as of 03.20.2024   The big surprise was the willingness of the Fed to maintain their projection for 3 rate cuts in 2024 even on the back...