Around the Bond Market: January 2025

Progress on the Debt to GDP Ratios… Kinda   The CBO, a non-partisan budget agency, updated its forecasts for the U.S. budget deficits for the next 10 years. The report showed a slightly improved fiscal picture compared to its previous outlook published back in June...
How Do You Define Safe?

How Do You Define Safe?

Brian wrote a recent post that’s relevant to this month’s writeup. It’s worth a few minutes of your time as it provides perspective around how you should think about investing your hard earned money: The Lost Century in Bonds. Volatility is not risk, and the...

FOMC: Buying Time

As expected, the Fed cut rates for a third time this year (100bps total), reducing the range for the Federal Funds target to 4.25-4.50%. The Committee signaled a significant reduction in its forecast for additional policy adjustments over the next 24 months as well as...

The Market in Pictures, December 6

Our team looks at a lot of research throughout each day. A few charts that caught our eye this week, and the way they fit the unfolding puzzle of evidence:   Dave: 2022 seems like a generation ago, historic in a different way   Source: Strategas as of 11.30.2024...