The Market in Pictures, April 19

Our team looks at a lot of research throughout each day. A few charts that caught our eye this week, and the way they fit the unfolding puzzle of evidence:   Brad: Earnings among US stocks have continued to decline in recent months, though projections for next...

The Market in Pictures, April 12

Our team looks at a lot of research throughout each day. A few charts that caught our eye this week, and the way they fit the unfolding puzzle of evidence:   John Luke: This week was mostly about inflation, with CPI Supercore running hot   Source: MKM as of...

Transitory Disinflation

US inflation topped forecasts for a third straight month.  Both the Core and the Headline consumer price index increased 0.4% from February.   Source: Stifel as of 04.10.2024   March CPI: Headline: +0.4% (Exp: +0.3%) Core: +0.4% (Exp: +0.3%) YoY: Headline:...

Lot of Moving Parts in the Bond Market

Treasury Issuance Back at Pandemic Levels   As we’ve noted over the last year, the current level of US fiscal deficits, given a strong economy and low unemployment, is uncharted territory.  It was ironic that Phillip Swagel, director of the Congressional Budget...

March CPI: Inflation Still Sticky

Inflation Stabilizing Above 3%   The U.S. CPI rose +0.4% m/m (3.2% y/y) & core (ex-food & energy) was +0.4% m/m (3.8% y/y) in February. The so-called “supercore” gauge slowed to 0.47% on the month, down from a red-hot 0.85% in January. The data is...