FOMC: One Last Pause?

The FOMC left the fed funds rate unchanged, with no action for the fifth consecutive meeting, even as inflation lingers above target. No change was the broad consensus; however, there were whispers of potential for a rate hike (the market was pricing about a 30%...

Are We Hitting an Inflation Trifecta?

Every so often, you see a shift in the data that lines up with a transitional moment; this week’s developments could be that moment. We just had three instances that could change the “imminent Fed Hikes” narrative: a) Fed Chair Kevin Warsh’s testimony on Capitol...

Around the Bond Market, December 2025

On their own, bonds have been better in 2025 than in recent years. Capital appreciation across the complex may be limited from here, but the bigger story is the support this environment can lend to overall economic conditions. A few key themes that are emerging…...

The Market in Pictures, October 31

Our team looks at a lot of research throughout the day. Here are a handful that we think are good summations of investor activity, from an amazing run in stocks to those left behind, to the FOMC and inflation, and housing. Happy Halloween!   Brian: Maybe it’s...

Another All Clear for Rate Cuts

The September CPI report, delayed for more than two weeks, was finally released this morning. The September Inflation data is an important number used to calculate the 2026 Social Security cost-of-living (COLA) adjustment; COLA is now set to increase 2.8% for 2026 (a...