Around the Bond Market, September 2025

CPI came in a touch hotter than expected in August, with the headline rising 0.382%, rounding to 0.4%, and the core rising 0.346%, rounding down to 0.3%. The consensus was 0.3% for both. The YoY CPI inflation rate rose from 2.732% to 2.939%, while the core YoY rose...

The Market in Pictures, August 15

Our team looks at a lot of research throughout the day. Here are a handful that we think are good summations of investor activity, from inflation to dispersion, from wall of worry to tariff impact, and the ongoing US vs. Foreign discussion. Have a great weekend!...

Strong Sales, Weak Inflation

Core CPI came in softer than expected for the 5th straight month: 0.2%, month over month (MoM) and 2.9% year over year (YoY). The YoY number did tick up slightly given the low comp rolling off from last year (monthly numbers shown on graphic below).    ...

No Help From Bonds

CPI Update: Softer Than Feared   The latest inflation report showed that consumer prices cooled more than expected. The CPI fell -0.1% in March, the first monthly decline since May 2020. The median forecast expected the CPI to rise 0.1% in March. YoY, consumer prices...