Long Term Rates Diverging From Fed Policy

As expected, the Fed opted to cut rates by 25bps in November, taking the Federal Funds rate to a range of 4.50% to 4.75%. Marking now the second consecutive reduction in rates, this month’s cut is a notably smaller reduction following the 50bps cut to initiate the...

The Market in Pictures, October 11

Our team looks at a lot of research throughout each day. A few charts that caught our eye this week, and the way they fit the unfolding puzzle of evidence:   John Luke: The past few years have seen a change in the leading contributors to inflation, first goods and now...

The Market in Pictures, October 4

Our team looks at a lot of research throughout each day. A few charts that caught our eye this week, and the way they fit the unfolding puzzle of evidence:   John Luke: Between the Fed Chair and the jobs report, the market’s expectations of another 50 bps cut have...

The Fed’s Recalibration

Post Covid Inflation   Source: Bianco. As of 9/24/24 In a recent op-ed, Jim Bianco argued that recessions and financial crises can create change across an economy. In 2020, we had both a financial crisis and a recession, significantly reshaping the economic...