FOMC: Buying Time

As expected, the Fed cut rates for a third time this year (100bps total), reducing the range for the Federal Funds target to 4.25-4.50%. The Committee signaled a significant reduction in its forecast for additional policy adjustments over the next 24 months as well as...

Pause Ahead in Rates and QT?

Insurance Cut in December is Likely…Then a Pause   The jobs forecast from Linkup, a leading provider of labor demand data to the capital markets, indicates a marked slowing in the pace of hiring (and openings). This implies a smaller upward revision to October than...

Long Term Rates Diverging From Fed Policy

As expected, the Fed opted to cut rates by 25bps in November, taking the Federal Funds rate to a range of 4.50% to 4.75%. Marking now the second consecutive reduction in rates, this month’s cut is a notably smaller reduction following the 50bps cut to initiate the...

The Market in Pictures, October 11

Our team looks at a lot of research throughout each day. A few charts that caught our eye this week, and the way they fit the unfolding puzzle of evidence:   John Luke: The past few years have seen a change in the leading contributors to inflation, first goods and now...