Rearview to Windshield, February 2024

January ‘24 Market Recap → Good Start, Bad Breadth: Despite the S&P 500 rally, the equal-weighted S&P 500 fell 0.7% as breadth narrowed to just 34% (% of stocks ahead of S&P 500), a bottom 3rd percentile in history. The “Nifty 50” gained 3.0%,...

The Market in Pictures, January 26

Our team looks at a lot of research throughout each day. A few charts that caught our eye this week, and the way they fit the unfolding puzzle of evidence:   Brett: Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) is said to be the Fed’s favorite indicator, and it’s...

December CPI: Shelter Prices Still the Driver

The U.S. Headline CPI for December rose +0.3% m/m (3.4% y/y) and the core CPI (ex: food & energy) was +0.3% m/m (3.9% y/y).   Source: BLS/Stifel as of 01.11.2024   Inflation came in slightly above expectations in December. Core inflation is being aided by...

Rearview to Windshield, January 2024

December ’23 Market Recap: Investors enjoyed broad-based relief in the fourth quarter. After rising sharply in Q2 and Q3, rates peaked in the fourth quarter fueled by Powell’s pivot at the December FOMC meeting. Similarly, oil prices peaked in late September and...