No Sign of a Pause Yet

Real Bad, Nominal Worse   While the Fed might have been slow off the mark in fighting inflation in 2021, they marched double-time last year starting in March, taking the benchmark Fed Funds rate from about roughly 0% to 4.5%. This brought extreme pain to the...

The Market in Pictures, December 23

Our team looks at a lot of research throughout each day. A few charts that caught our eye this week, and the way they fit the unfolding puzzle of evidence:   JL: Markets are no longer buying the Fed’s hawkish story   Data as of 12.16.2022     JL:...