by John Luke Tyner | Jun 13, 2024 | Blog, Bonds
We see today’s print to be one of the first encouraging inflation prints for the Fed. The broader softness across components could point to a continuation of the slowing inflation data. May Core CPI came at 0.163% M/M (2% annualized), which was well below estimates....
by Aptus PM Team | Mar 22, 2024 | Blog, Charts
Our team looks at a lot of research throughout each day. A few charts that caught our eye this week, and the way they fit the unfolding puzzle of evidence: John Luke: The market is finally in gear with the FOMC’s actual plans Source: Bianco as of...
by John Luke Tyner | Mar 21, 2024 | Blog, Bonds
The FOMC voted unanimously to leave their benchmark rate unchanged in the target range of 5.25%-5.5%. Source: Bloomberg as of 03.20.2024 The big surprise was the willingness of the Fed to maintain their projection for 3 rate cuts in 2024 even on the back...
by John Luke Tyner | Feb 1, 2024 | Blog, Bonds
The Fed left the benchmark rate unchanged at 5.25%-5.5%, as was expected. This is the fourth meeting in a row of no action. They did back away from their prior bias to further tightening as inflation has fallen notably over the past year. However, it is still above...
by John Luke Tyner | Dec 15, 2023 | Blog, Bonds
As expected, the Fed left its target rate unchanged at 5.25% – 5.50%, matching market consensus. The updated rate forecast, or dot plot, doesn’t have another rate hike penciled in next year. Source: Bianco/Fed as of 12.14.2023 In addition, expectations...
