The Market in Pictures, March 22

Our team looks at a lot of research throughout each day. A few charts that caught our eye this week, and the way they fit the unfolding puzzle of evidence:   John Luke: The market is finally in gear with the FOMC’s actual plans   Source: Bianco as of...

March 2024 FOMC: Dovish Tone

The FOMC voted unanimously to leave their benchmark rate unchanged in the target range of 5.25%-5.5%.   Source: Bloomberg as of 03.20.2024   The big surprise was the willingness of the Fed to maintain their projection for 3 rate cuts in 2024 even on the back...

Fed Reconfirms 2% Inflation Target

The Fed left the benchmark rate unchanged at 5.25%-5.5%, as was expected. This is the fourth meeting in a row of no action. They did back away from their prior bias to further tightening as inflation has fallen notably over the past year. However, it is still above...

December FOMC Update

As expected, the Fed left its target rate unchanged at 5.25% – 5.50%, matching market consensus.  The updated rate forecast, or dot plot, doesn’t have another rate hike penciled in next year.   Source: Bianco/Fed as of 12.14.2023   In addition, expectations...

FOMC Pause, For Now

As broadly expected, the Fed left their target Fed Funds rate unchanged at the 5.25% to 5.50% range. The pause from July to November marks the longest period without an increase since the liftoff in March of 2022. Powell did leave the door open for further tightening,...