What Could Stop the Fed?

Newton’s First Law of Motion states that an object in motion tends to stay in motion unless an external force acts upon it. The Fed is in motion (hiking rates/QT) and until the external force (lower inflation) acts upon it, expect them to stay in motion (higher...

The Market in Pictures, November 4

Our team looks at a lot of research throughout each day. A few charts that caught our eye this week, and the way they fit the unfolding puzzle of evidence:   John Luke: Bond markets get credit for being better forecasters than equity investors, but they’ve not...

Thoughts on Interest Rates

We’ve had a number of questions regarding peak interest rates. Interest rates have of course been a hot topic in 2022… the 4th worst year for government bonds since 1721 has led to an interesting backdrop of uncharted waters. Interest rates can be confusing, and we’ve...

The Market in Pictures, October 28

Our team looks at a lot of research throughout each day. A few charts that caught our eye this week, and how they help fill the puzzle of evidence:   John Luke: Fastest monetary tightening in decades   Source: Bianco as of 10.25.2022   John Luke: and...