by David Wagner | Mar 7, 2023 | Blog, Macro Updates
I’ve fielded a few questions regarding Mike Wilson’s (of Morgan Stanley) recent market commentary. Outside of corporate profitability, i.e., margins driving down future earnings, one of his biggest takes is on the current valuation of the S&P 500. As of 3/7/23,...
by David Wagner | Mar 1, 2023 | Blog, Market Updates
February ‘23 Market Recap: The January rally suddenly looks distant as equities closed lower for the month, finishing down 5.0% from their early February peak. This has been a confluence of technicals, bond yield increases due to uncomfortably strong economic data in...
by David Wagner | Feb 23, 2023 | Blog, Macro Updates
I’m going to cut to the chase here – I’ve been reading a lot on the debt crisis here recently, especially after the Congressional Budget Office (“CBO”) released its latest Budget and Economic Outlook last week. This report projects the US fiscal and economic outlook...
by David Wagner | Feb 14, 2023 | Blog, Macro Updates
Q4 ’22 Earnings Season Given current levels of Nominal GDP (+7.3% YoY) & Real GDP (+2.1% YoY), it appears that a recession has been delayed, but the market has begun to witness an EPS downturn. Almost 85% of the S&P 500 constituents have reported...
by David Wagner | Feb 2, 2023 | Blog, Market Updates
January ‘23 Market Recap: The “January Effect” was in full order this past month. The worst performing sectors in 2022 led last month: Consumer Discretionary (+15%) and Communication Services (+14%). Meanwhile, defensive Utilities (-2%) and Staples (-1%) were the only...
