Inflation Volatility Unlikely to Disappear

Market is Pricing in Six Rates Cuts in 2024   Currently, Fed Funds traders are pricing in six cuts (shown below in orange) by the end of 2024. Keep in mind that the Fed projected just three cuts in its latest Summary of Economic Projections (shown below in blue)....

Buy Low, Sell High?

Markets at Highs: A Pathway, Not Obstacle, to Strong Market Returns   The recent resurgence of global stocks, with many (especially those within the United States) edging closer to new all-time highs, has sparked apprehension among some investors. However, contrary to...

The Market in Pictures, January 12

Our team looks at a lot of research throughout each day. A few charts that caught our eye this week, and the way they fit the unfolding puzzle of evidence:   Beckham: Equity valuations have done their usual post-low lift from late 2022, it now seems to be on...

December CPI: Shelter Prices Still the Driver

The U.S. Headline CPI for December rose +0.3% m/m (3.4% y/y) and the core CPI (ex: food & energy) was +0.3% m/m (3.9% y/y).   Source: BLS/Stifel as of 01.11.2024   Inflation came in slightly above expectations in December. Core inflation is being aided by...

The Market in Pictures, January 6

Our team looks at a lot of research throughout each day. A few charts that caught our eye this week, and the way they fit the unfolding puzzle of evidence:   Joseph: In any given year, the leaders and laggards change but a diversified portfolio can get clients...