The Market in Pictures, January 6

Our team looks at a lot of research throughout each day. A few charts that caught our eye this week, and the way they fit the unfolding puzzle of evidence:   Dave: Not many places to hide in 2022   Source: JP Morgan as of 12.31.22     Dave: and the only...

No Sign of a Pause Yet

Real Bad, Nominal Worse   While the Fed might have been slow off the mark in fighting inflation in 2021, they marched double-time last year starting in March, taking the benchmark Fed Funds rate from about roughly 0% to 4.5%. This brought extreme pain to the...

Rearview to Windshield, January 2023

December 2022 Market Recap: There was no “Santa Claus” rally in December – more of a “Santa Snooze” – as the market traded effectively sideways the last 2 weeks to finish the year at ~3840 on the S&P 500, near the midpoint of the ~3500-4200 range we have...

The Market in Pictures, December 30

Our team looks at a lot of research throughout each day. A few charts that caught our eye this week, and the way they fit the unfolding puzzle of evidence:   Dave: No shortage of big market stories this year, but among the most widely felt may be the...

The Yield Curve and Its Impact

The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) has the ability to set interest rates through the Fed Funds rate – the overnight lending rate among US banks. Banks are required to retain a certain amount in deposits as capital to help guarantee their solvency. Bank deposits...

The Market in Pictures, December 23

Our team looks at a lot of research throughout each day. A few charts that caught our eye this week, and the way they fit the unfolding puzzle of evidence:   JL: Markets are no longer buying the Fed’s hawkish story   Data as of 12.16.2022     JL:...