September CPI … Another Hot One

Another hot print with Core CPI hitting a new cycle high of 6.6% y/y, numbers summarized here:   CPI m/m: +0.4% CPI y/y:   +8.2%   (vs +8.1% exp) Core m/m: +0.6% (vs +0.4% exp) Core y/y: +6.6% (vs +6.5% exp) (vs +0.2% exp)   On a positive note, even with the...

Interest Is The Barometer of Trust

I’ve been reading Edward Chancellors book The Price of Time over the last couple weeks. It’s a bit dense but found it thoroughly interesting and informative. Basically the entire book walks through the importance of interest and the role it has played in forming our...

The Market in Pictures, October 7

Our team looks at a lot of research throughout each day. A few charts that caught our eye this week, and how they help fill the puzzle of evidence:   JD: We’re going through an investment environment that requires a multi-decade look back to find comps  ...

Rearview to Windshield, October 2022

Developments Over the Past Month   Can you Hear the Fed Now? September 2022 Market Recap: At the end of September, the Fed removed any remaining doubt about its commitment to getting inflation under control. As a result, both bonds and stocks sold off sharply....

Assessing the Downside

When we think about narratives surrounding slowing economic growth, our job as investors is to translate narrative into number. In other words, if the Federal Reserve continues to hike interest rates, if the housing market gets sluggish, if unemployment starts to...

The Market in Pictures, September 30

Our team looks at a lot of research throughout each day. A few charts that caught our eye this week, and how they help fill the puzzle of evidence:   John Luke: Even the most experienced investors are experiencing something they’ve never seen, with bonds  ...