The Market in Pictures, June 16

Our team looks at a lot of research throughout each day. A few charts that caught our eye this week, and the way they fit the unfolding puzzle of evidence:   John Luke: Most of the yield curve has separated itself from the Fed Funds rate, with seemingly no rush...

May CPI: Easier Inflation Comps Ending

Year-over-year CPI declined in May, roughly in line with estimates:   Headline MoM: +0.1% (Expected: +0.1%) Core MoM: +0.4% (Expected +0.4%) Headline YoY: +4.0% (Expected: 4.0%) Core YoY: +5.3% (Expecting 5.2%)   Top/Bottom Contributors:   Source:...

Pause Ahead… What About the Fall?

The next Fed meeting starts a week from today. As of now, the market is currently pricing in just a 23% chance the Fed hikes at the meeting. WSJ’s Nick Timiraos already provided his pre-meeting proclamation of a probable pause. At this point, anything other than a...

The Market in Pictures, May 19

Our team looks at a lot of research throughout each day. A few charts that caught our eye this week, and the way they fit the unfolding puzzle of evidence:   Dave: The debt ceiling remains a story for markets, here’s Morgan Stanley’s walkthrough of prior...

The Market in Pictures, May 12

Our team looks at a lot of research throughout each day. A few charts that caught our eye this week, and the way they fit the unfolding puzzle of evidence:   John Luke: Tough to see how inflation can get down to the Fed’s stated 2% target   Source: Strategas...