Did the Fed Ease Policy?

May 5th, 2022 – Bond Market Week Over Week Update   *  Fed Hikes 50bps and Starts QT, albeit more Slowly than Expected. The Fed hiked rates 50 bps (instead of 75) and basically ruled out 75 bps increases going forward. In our opinion, the Fed eased policy...

Rearview to Windshield, May 2022

Developments Over the Last Month   April showers doused bullish sentiment last week as the SPX wrapped up April with an 8.8% decline. This was the worst April return for the index since 1970 and the fourth lowest April return on record. Fear over this week’s FOMC...
Rebalance Rationale, May 2022

Rebalance Rationale, May 2022

Welp, the call on bonds being a significant drag on portfolios continues to play out.  At the end of the quarter, even in a S&P down market, the Barclays Aggregate has underperformed the S&P 500. So much for those safe and sound, set it and forget it bond...

Bond Market Week Over Week Update

*  Bonds… The Rough Stretch Continues:  The Bloomberg US Aggregate Index continues the largest drawdown in its history. Since August 6th, 2020 – the end of the most recent bull market in bonds – the index has declined by -9.2%. Even after the drawdown,...

Bond Market Update Feb 17, 2022

Current Rates & the Curve   Macro influences like the Russia/ Ukraine news are likely temporary and the major influence over yields remains central bank tightening. That is the key to watch beyond the short term, and the bottom line is that the trend in...