No Help From Bonds

CPI Update: Softer Than Feared   The latest inflation report showed that consumer prices cooled more than expected. The CPI fell -0.1% in March, the first monthly decline since May 2020. The median forecast expected the CPI to rise 0.1% in March. YoY, consumer prices...

CPI Update: Fed on Hold

CPI rose 0.5% in January, above the 0.3% gain expected and an uptick from a 0.4% increase in December. Year-over-year, prices rose 3.0%, a tenth of a percentage point higher than expected and the fourth consecutive month of acceleration.   Source: Stifel as of...

The Market in Pictures, December 13

Our team looks at a lot of research throughout each day. A few charts that caught our eye this week, and the way they fit the unfolding puzzle of evidence:   Dave: Government inflation measures are trying to settle into the 2-3% range   Source: Raymond James as...

Econ Data Not Bond-Friendly

September CPI   Year-over-year, consumer prices rose 2.4%, a tenth of a percentage point more than expected but down from the 2.5% annual increase in August. 2.4% is the smallest annual gain since February 2021. Food prices rose 0.4%, while energy prices dropped...

The Market in Pictures, September 13

Our team looks at a lot of research throughout each day. A few charts that caught our eye this week, and the way they fit the unfolding puzzle of evidence: John Luke: Chatter around a 50 bps cut jumped a bit late in the week, we’ll see what’s in store next Wednesday...