by David Wagner | Oct 5, 2023 | Blog, Market Updates
September ’23 Market Recap: As the weakest seasonal period for equities historically, September is doing what September does. The S&P 500 was down -4.8%. This was a stressful quarter for investors with few places to hide amidst the market pullback that weighed on...
by Aptus PM Team | Sep 29, 2023 | Appearances, Market Updates
Globally, YTD equity performance has been dramatically US-biased, but mostly in the first 5 months. Here recently all eyes have been on rates. The 10-year fell to its year-to-date low on April 6th at 3.28%. At quarter end, its value rested at roughly 4.61%. In less...
by John Luke Tyner | Sep 27, 2023 | Blog, Bonds
The recent Fed meeting brought an update to the 2024 median for the Fed Funds rate. It was pushed higher with the top dot now 6.1%, up from 5.9% in June. If growth persists, several FOMC members see the funds going a lot higher than the market expects. Source:...
by Aptus PM Team | Sep 22, 2023 | Blog, Charts
Our team looks at a lot of research throughout each day. A few charts that caught our eye this week, and the way they fit the unfolding puzzle of evidence: John Luke: The midpoint of the neutral policy rate hasn’t moved, but a few members have moved their...
by John Luke Tyner | Sep 21, 2023 | Blog, Bonds
We thought the current backdrop provided an opportunity to dive into the basics of inflation. The below analysis will attempt to isolate different types of inflation, and distill our input on where we stand on each in the current cycle. This is a bit “economic” at its...