Market Still Undershooting Fed Communication

Global central bankers will gather later this month in Jackson Hole, WY for their annual meeting. We anticipate markets will seek to understand Powell’s desire to push back on market pricing that the Fed will cut its key rate to around 4% by January 2025 from its...

August 2023 CPI: Progress Continues

The July CPI came out to be another soft report and points to further moderation in inflation. Headline CPI increased by 0.2% MoM (0.167% unrounded), which resulted in the YoY rate increasing two-tenths to 3.2% as base effects were less favorable than last month. For...

The Market in Pictures, August 4

Our team looks at a lot of research throughout each day. A few charts that caught our eye this week, and the way they fit the unfolding puzzle of evidence:   Brad: If you don’t recall this kind of volatility in the rate market, well…it’s been awhile  ...

Yields Rising, and a Curveball!

Rise in Interest Income is Helping Buoy the Consumer   The increase in interest rates over the last 15-18 months has made it is more expensive to borrow money but on the flip side, they have higher yielding options to put cash to work.   Source: WSJ as of...

The Market in Pictures, July 28

Our team looks at a lot of research throughout each day. A few charts that caught our eye this week, and the way they fit the unfolding puzzle of evidence:   John Luke: VIX has fallen into lower levels indicating complacency, but that hasn’t historically led to...