The Market in Pictures, April 21

Our team looks at a lot of research throughout each day. A few charts that caught our eye this week, and the way they fit the unfolding puzzle of evidence:   John Luke: Looks like markets have restored expectations of 25 bps hike after wavering last month  ...

Rearview to Windshield, April 2023

March ‘23 Market Recap; The S&P 500 ignored the fallout from banking woes and recorded a surprising +3.7% gain last month, leaving the index in positive territory for Q1 ‘23 (+7.5%). After a mid-month hike, the current Fed Funds rate (upper bound) is at 5% vs....

The Market in Pictures, March 17

Our team looks at a lot of research throughout each day. A few charts that caught our eye this week, and the way they fit the unfolding puzzle of evidence:   Derek: Hopefully the first and last time we need to share SIVB charts, but in hindsight it stood out...

The Market in Pictures, March 10

Our team looks at a lot of research throughout each day. A few charts that caught our eye this week, and the way they fit the unfolding puzzle of evidence:   Beckham: The high-beta rally to start the year was really weird   Source: Piper as of 03.06.23...

Aptus Musings: Equity Risk Premium (ERP)

I’ve fielded a few questions regarding Mike Wilson’s (of Morgan Stanley) recent market commentary. Outside of corporate profitability, i.e., margins driving down future earnings, one of his biggest takes is on the current valuation of the S&P 500. As of 3/7/23,...