by David Wagner | Aug 7, 2026 | Blog, Market Updates
All things considered, a flat month for the S&P in July feels pretty heroic given the headlines – a hedge fund implosion, historic Yen intervention, and a post-FOMC breakout in 30-year yields (and that was just last week), not to mention the renewed tension...
by David Wagner | May 19, 2026 | Blog, Market Updates
The #1 question that I’ve been getting: Why is the S&P 500 Rallying? As I’ve said, simply put, there’s a profitability boom. “Boom” in EPS beats: 85% of S&P 500 firms beating EPS – the best hit rate in 5 years;...
by David Wagner | Mar 25, 2026 | Blog, Market Updates
Here’s the big story in my mind: the S&P 500 EPS forecasts for 2026 and 2027 are climbing, but this optimistic trend might be a bit of a “smoke screen.” Most of those gains are concentrated in the Energy sector thanks to higher oil prices, which...
by David Wagner | Aug 21, 2025 | Blog, Market Updates
The big debate in the final weeks of Summer is whether the delayed bite of the Administration’s trade and tariff policy will matter more for financial markets than the offset from likely rate cuts, monetary policy and fiscal policy. Best we can tell, it’s the...
by David Wagner | May 30, 2025 | Blog, Market Updates
I hope that everyone had a great Memorial Day Weekend! We’ll start with two newsworthy pieces: 1. Now that the “One, Big Beautiful Bill” has passed the House and is on its way to the Senate, I’ll start shifting some Musing focus over the...