No Help From Bonds

CPI Update: Softer Than Feared   The latest inflation report showed that consumer prices cooled more than expected. The CPI fell -0.1% in March, the first monthly decline since May 2020. The median forecast expected the CPI to rise 0.1% in March. YoY, consumer prices...
Keeping Client Eyes On the Future

Keeping Client Eyes On the Future

In our recent piece Enhancing Your (Portfolio) Engine, we walked through our logic: Own more stocks, in a risk-neutral way Embrace beta to capture the ups Use volatility to mitigate the downs We think the math behind that combo is a great recipe for successful client...

High Bond Volatility Supports Higher Yields

Probable Fed Pause in November    Fed Chair Powell’s commentary last week pointed to the relentless rise in longer-dated Treasury yields that was creating an environment of tighter financial conditions. This should help do some of the Fed’s work and allow them to...

Around the Bond Market, October 2023

Inflation Still a Concern September PPI rose 0.5%, more than the 0.3% gain expected and following a 0.7% increase the month prior.  Year-over-year, producer prices rose 2.2% in September, up from the 2.0% gain in August and marking the largest increase in five months,...