Bond Market Update March 24, 2022

*  Bonds… A Rough Stretch:  The Bloomberg Global Aggregate Index, a benchmark for government and corporate debt, has fallen 11% from a high in early 2021. That’s the biggest decline from a peak in data stretching back to 1990, surpassing a 10.8% drawdown during the...

FOMC March 16th, 2022

And…We Have Lift Off   As expected, the Fed raised the overnight target rate 25 bps to 0.25% – 0.50%. The market had priced seven hikes this year prior to the meeting, and the Fed delivered. For some time now, the market has been pulling the Fed in its...

A Generational Inflation Print, Until Next Month…

The U.S. CPI surged +0.8% m/m and 7.9% y/y in February. Core CPI, which is a measure that takes out food and energy, rose +0.5% m/m and 6.4% y/y in Feb. Given the recent geopolitical event since this February figure, specifically regarding the upward commodity...

Bond Market Summary: March 3, 2022

  Current Rates & the Curve:  The Ukraine-Russia War captured investors’ attention as the 10-year US Treasury traded in a ~30 bps range since last week. The yield of 2.00% quickly became a sub-1.70% as the market digested the ever-changing geopolitical...

Bond Market Update Feb 17, 2022

Current Rates & the Curve   Macro influences like the Russia/ Ukraine news are likely temporary and the major influence over yields remains central bank tightening. That is the key to watch beyond the short term, and the bottom line is that the trend in...