Rearview to Windshield, February 2024

January ‘24 Market Recap → Good Start, Bad Breadth: Despite the S&P 500 rally, the equal-weighted S&P 500 fell 0.7% as breadth narrowed to just 34% (% of stocks ahead of S&P 500), a bottom 3rd percentile in history. The “Nifty 50” gained 3.0%,...

Aptus Musings: Earnings Ahead

S&P 500 Earnings Preview – Q4 2023 It’s common knowledge that if the market endures two (2) consecutive quarters of negative GDP growth, it is considered a recession (most of the time, not every time—as we learned last year). Well, the market had been in an...

Rearview to Windshield, January 2024

December ’23 Market Recap: Investors enjoyed broad-based relief in the fourth quarter. After rising sharply in Q2 and Q3, rates peaked in the fourth quarter fueled by Powell’s pivot at the December FOMC meeting. Similarly, oil prices peaked in late September and...