Assessing the Downside

When we think about narratives surrounding slowing economic growth, our job as investors is to translate narrative into number. In other words, if the Federal Reserve continues to hike interest rates, if the housing market gets sluggish, if unemployment starts to...

Oil Market Update – Products Edition

In prior posts, we have written about the continued tightness in oil markets driven by (among other things) structural underinvestment in productive supply over the past several years. In this post, we will focus more on the products side, specifically gasoline and...