by Aptus PM Team | May 24, 2023 | Blog, Bonds
Not too long ago, markets were pricing potential for a rate cut at the July meeting. That has been pushed out to November as the “hold-and-see” narrative takes over from the hiking rates narrative as the data continues to hold up stronger than expected. Source:...
by Aptus PM Team | May 15, 2023 | Blog, Bonds
We’ve written extensively about the debt ceiling, and how it could impact markets (see Part One and Part Deux). While uncertainty remains around the various market impacts of a default, the more pressing client question is “Are the T-bills I just bought going to be...
by Aptus PM Team | May 11, 2023 | Blog, Bonds
Inline CPI print with Shelter continuing to pull the index higher although some signs of slowing. Used Cars prices came in hotter than expected which have been lagging the Manheim index for most of the year. Food prices were down for the second month in a row which...
by Aptus PM Team | May 3, 2023 | Blog, Bonds
The Fed delivered a 25bps hike as was broadly expected by markets. They made a modification in their statement omitting the wording regarding the necessity of further rate hikes. To us, this indicates a sort of “hawkish” pause in policy here at the 5-5.25%...
by Aptus PM Team | Apr 27, 2023 | Blog, Bonds
Curves are Inverted, Term Premiums LOW The market continues to price in a return to the 2010 norms of subdued inflation pressure, with term premia below zero across the curve. Source: TS Lombard. As of 04.12.2023 While slower nominal growth could put a...
by Aptus PM Team | Apr 13, 2023 | Blog, Bonds
Core CPI was in line with a softer shelter print (shelter/OER came in at 0.45%), but the headline was a little soft as energy declined, food was flat. The big question is how will the Fed view this number? Source: Macro84. As of 4/12/23. Core still at...
